Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8d56c3b1ff3e674d82e036c8abae5947ffb704c3676e6e8fabe4db93bbe492f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 1,243$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 68c | 1,171$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.82 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed No | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 12c | 833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 13c | 812.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 168$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 10c | 161.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 67c | 149.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 123.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 106.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 24c | 96.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 45c | 79.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 65c | 72.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 33c | 69.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 69.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 63c | 52.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 38c | 52.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 78c | 46.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 46c | 46.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 67c | 27.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3547…496fbacked No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 43c | 23.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 47c | 21.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.