Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc39d671625f75c9e3bdb63312b0cef7fa1d8d72e3c93ca74efdb7bac85651ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 9c | 8,797$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.7 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 6c | 6,556$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.07 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Yes | 9c | 4,887$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 11c | 4,537$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.29 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 4c | 4,468$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 3,563$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Yes | 10c | 3,489$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 2,955$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 9c | 2,187$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 7c | 2,123$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,724$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,466$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 9c | 1,177$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 10c | 962.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 10c | 956.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 3c | 931.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 700.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 9c | 686.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 3c | 682.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 9c | 668.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…0f71backed Yes | 9c | 554.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 6c | 544.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Yes | 11c | 539.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 9c | 498.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 5c | 487.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 10c | 467.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 9c | 445.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Yes | 11c | 444.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 9c | 438.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 10c | 408.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…cf48backed Yes | 5c | 377.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…e882backed Yes | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 8c | 286.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 7c | 285.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 280.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 13c | 234.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 11c | 229.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 11c | 228.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 9c | 226.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…b51abacked Yes | 9c | 221.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 9c | 199.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Yes | 10c | 189.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 10c | 149.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…81adbacked Yes | 8c | 146.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 9c | 134.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 11c | 89.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 11c | 89.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.