TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3de4…b032backed No70c90,712$63,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,799.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c60,520$17,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,784.82,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes29c31,594$9,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,431.883348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No72c23,172$16,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,683.653852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f8…96a4backed No71c20,000$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,199.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c14,383$4,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,212.1132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c12,599$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,071.1768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No72c11,453$8,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,249.17520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes30c9,478$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,647.649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b8…933ebacked No72c7,920$5,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,702.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd087…c3adbacked Yes29c7,448$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,288.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+58.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c7,247$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,948.781,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes30c6,471$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.141442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes32c3,843$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6133756.8%21 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+81.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes55c1,779$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.762236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes29c1,321$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.5914159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No71c1,192$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.54845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c1,142$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.962080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes28c1,111$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9224953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes29c1,091$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.9214651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No72c980.97$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.31963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x608c…4f52backed No2c969.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes30c958$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.61540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No50c937.91$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.197160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes37c928.86$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.8341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0e…6541backed No72c848.01$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c828.62$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.3298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No64c781.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.472867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454a…f8d2backed Yes50c776.46$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.632133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c733.85$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.374971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes29c660.28$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.817354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c657.41$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3322743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c656.32$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.9913839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes28c649.9$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.9336456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes30c618.02$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.6619154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes29c600.85$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.61435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No61c542.71$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.669826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c536.43$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes35c532.67$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.231752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+62.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes42c499.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1615050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes36c494.34$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.381010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes29c493.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.693129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes29c490.19$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.0312920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes36c458.92$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5517744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No72c410.31$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4219042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28022551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes31c332.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7713157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes64c332.69$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9949137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.48644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.413653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No44c325.57$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6514347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes29c287.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.931637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+144.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No54c273.02$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2811161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes73c257.19$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6211053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes77c256.4$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.171850%9 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c252.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0816819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.024320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.645547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c205.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No71c202.24$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5951139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9412035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes51c186.36$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7712350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes29c184.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.68958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes29c181.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c180$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12623353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Yes55c177.87$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes75c175.6$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2530828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c173.48$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.76628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No48c166.46$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5718253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb817…bdc7backed Yes33c165.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes29c165.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.24647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Yes30c159.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.776100%6 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+153%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7795…2db2backed Yes29c152.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10815354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes30c149.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.611877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+59.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c143.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes37c130.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed No37c128.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c3…196abacked Yes46c128.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes29c128.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.011428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes69c124.05$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.513953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.713658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3bbebacked Yes29c122.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.141662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked No72c114.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.341464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c111.03$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes29c109.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3113146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No12c109.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1318125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Yes46c102.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.411346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ed…06d5backed No72c100.11$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes28c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9932150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.321275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+45.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked No28c98.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3570%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x166f…b68dbacked Yes54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.