UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e02d23bc8d6846a4922922b57d27c25438c7afa5e9db89aed6553e2ab71d5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mateusz Rebeckiof Kyle Prepolec, Mateusz Rebecki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kyle Prepolec | 11c | 14,659$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.46 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Kyle Prepolec | 13c | 8,270$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kyle Prepolec | 13c | 5,202$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.52 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Kyle Prepolec | 8c | 4,702$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.08 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 4,424$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.07 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 4,273$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.82 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kyle Prepolec | 9c | 3,819$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.71 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 3,281$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.7 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kyle Prepolec | 9c | 2,975$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.48 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Kyle Prepolec | 5c | 2,260$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 2,064$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.92 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kyle Prepolec | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 1,996$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Kyle Prepolec | 13c | 1,612$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Kyle Prepolec | 10c | 1,491$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…4e52backed Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 1,221$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Kyle Prepolec | 20c | 1,193$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.42 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 1,192$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kyle Prepolec | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Kyle Prepolec | 15c | 999.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…42f6backed Kyle Prepolec | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 639.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 630$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kyle Prepolec | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Kyle Prepolec | 7c | 474.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…7691backed Mateusz Rebecki | 77c | 435.06$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 419.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Kyle Prepolec | 15c | 357.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 282.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Kyle Prepolec | 16c | 276$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Kyle Prepolec | 16c | 235$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Kyle Prepolec | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 204.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Mateusz Rebecki | 46c | 195.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Kyle Prepolec | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Kyle Prepolec | 13c | 169.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked Kyle Prepolec | 21c | 159.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 154.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…7acbbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…8cb5backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…1530backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…59f9backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…df6dbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…23b4backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…c429backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d51…6bc6backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…364ebacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…b17ebacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…fe2ebacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…69b7backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…380dbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a1…1a67backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…9b8fbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b54…4c0fbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf34…3257backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…0396backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…6cd6backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…9225backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…2579backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…a277backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…64f3backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…45d1backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2665…02a8backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…f01bbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffa…08cfbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…efe7backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…edfebacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe636…0c0bbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…6ccfbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…7d7dbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2af…954bbacked Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…23e7backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Mateusz Rebecki | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…d304backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5186…6fa4backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…9491backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa3…cb44backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…1732backed Kyle Prepolec | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…be12backed Mateusz Rebecki | 76c | 131.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Kyle Prepolec | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…1b6bbacked Kyle Prepolec | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Kyle Prepolec | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kyle Prepolec | 16c | 103.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…9946backed Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…1d50backed Kyle Prepolec | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Mateusz Rebecki | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Kyle Prepolec | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Kyle Prepolec | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kyle Prepolec | 18c | 65.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…896cbacked Kyle Prepolec | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Kyle Prepolec | 53c | 60.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Mateusz Rebecki | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…bec0backed Mateusz Rebecki | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Mateusz Rebecki win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.