UFC · resolved market
Dana White's Contender Series: Roman Puga vs. Taner Trembley (Featherweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6607376d2f90ad5baa3d1a5f22d4b52b16f096f39070d359849277b54384047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roman Pugaof Roman Puga, Taner Trembley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x151e…cedebacked Taner Trembley | 32c | 7,199$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +71%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Taner Trembley | 41c | 5,726$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.04 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Roman Puga | 60c | 4,500$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Taner Trembley | 31c | 4,049$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.6 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Roman Puga | 59c | 4,000$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.23 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Taner Trembley | 41c | 3,575$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.63 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Roman Puga | 73c | 3,242$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.98 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Taner Trembley | 43c | 2,269$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.94 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Roman Puga | 58c | 2,062$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed Taner Trembley | 39c | 1,932$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Roman Puga | 57c | 1,784$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.02 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Roman Puga | 77c | 1,532$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.07 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Roman Puga | 71c | 1,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.29 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Roman Puga | 59c | 1,319$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.78 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Taner Trembley | 11c | 1,312$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Roman Puga | 55c | 1,293$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.02 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Taner Trembley | 18c | 1,244$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Roman Puga | 61c | 1,232$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.65 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Taner Trembley | 41c | 1,209$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Taner Trembley | 40c | 1,057$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.95 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Roman Puga | 67c | 1,040$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.28 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Taner Trembley | 12c | 1,037$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Taner Trembley | 42c | 1,009$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Roman Puga | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Taner Trembley | 45c | 990.48$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.71 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Taner Trembley | 45c | 898.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Roman Puga | 62c | 716.84$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Roman Puga | 57c | 680$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Taner Trembley | 16c | 598.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Taner Trembley | 30c | 584.67$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Taner Trembley | 39c | 514.82$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.27 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…7b92backed Roman Puga | 59c | 509.51$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Taner Trembley | 26c | 500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Taner Trembley | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…d67bbacked Taner Trembley | 41c | 490.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Roman Puga | 57c | 474.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Roman Puga | 61c | 462.93$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…21edbacked Roman Puga | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 43cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Roman Puga | 63c | 410$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Roman Puga | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…c31fbacked Roman Puga | 58c | 357.54$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Roman Puga | 61c | 356.8$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Taner Trembley | 14c | 351.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Roman Puga | 74c | 349.85$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Taner Trembley | 28c | 303.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Taner Trembley | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Taner Trembley | 38c | 275.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed Taner Trembley | 31c | 274.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Roman Puga | 65c | 269.92$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Taner Trembley | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…20fbbacked Roman Puga | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Roman Puga | 78c | 266.01$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Taner Trembley | 39c | 243.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Taner Trembley | 33c | 238.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Taner Trembley | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Taner Trembley | 14c | 201.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Roman Puga | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed Taner Trembley | 37c | 199.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Taner Trembley | 42c | 190.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Taner Trembley | 40c | 187.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Taner Trembley | 12c | 140.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…0874backed Roman Puga | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…0da7backed Taner Trembley | 19c | 133.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…7e6ebacked Taner Trembley | 38c | 132.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Roman Puga | 59c | 129.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Taner Trembley | 18c | 127.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Roman Puga | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked Taner Trembley | 43c | 106.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Roman Puga | 56c | 102.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Taner Trembley | 42c | 100.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Roman Puga | 57c | 100.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Roman Puga | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Roman Puga | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Roman Puga | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Roman Puga | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…e129backed Taner Trembley | 38c | 92.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Taner Trembley | 20c | 91.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Taner Trembley | 39c | 91.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Taner Trembley | 41c | 91.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked Roman Puga | 56c | 89.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 250 | 60.4%151 W · 99 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Roman Puga | 56c | 88.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Roman Puga | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Roman Puga | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…2f04backed Taner Trembley | 39c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Taner Trembley | 44c | 68.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Taner Trembley | 44c | 66.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Taner Trembley | 25c | 63.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…b1f5backed Taner Trembley | 45c | 62.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Roman Puga | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…3eefbacked Roman Puga | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Taner Trembley | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Taner Trembley | 43c | 56.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Taner Trembley | 39c | 55.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Roman Puga | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Taner Trembley | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Taner Trembley | 43c | 46.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Taner Trembley | 38c | 45.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Taner Trembley | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Roman Puga | 56c | 42.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Taner Trembley | 41c | 42.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dana White's Contender Series: Roman Puga vs. Taner Trembley (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.