F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93695b05f00654fbe85e208597d52742729103d7cd4991aa108c7831794c91b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75a2…6992backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 26c | 1,790$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.58 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed No | 64c | 1,384$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 75c | 975.38$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 48c | 714.8$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 48c | 676$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.4 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…d35ebacked Yes | 52c | 666.46$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 73c | 390.68$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed No | 54c | 362.4$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 42c | 258.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…0913backed Yes | 10c | 247.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…901abacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 53c | 132.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed Yes | 36c | 105.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 39c | 74.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 19c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Yes | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 68c | 60.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…c0d5backed Yes | 32c | 60.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 55c | 39.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…3355backed No | 71c | 34.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 78c | 29.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 71c | 29.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.