WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1fff8f3d6044dc6ec8afd8be1a3ccce35ea8784a0ba530c75a2ffb9be7aa7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,939$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.15 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 1,571$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.98 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Over | 41c | 1,290$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Over | 46c | 929.72$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 869.92$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.05 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 59c | 750.52$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.94 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Under | 54c | 653.2$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 44c | 621.08$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.2 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…bbdcbacked Under | 56c | 462.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 455.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.78 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 50c | 451$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.97 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 7c | 380.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 47c | 352.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 58c | 343.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 53c | 339.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 333.51$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 54c | 264.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 57c | 259.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 47c | 214.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 207.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Under | 52c | 195.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 171.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 123.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 45c | 109.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Under | 57c | 81.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Under | 56c | 67.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 40c | 58.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a2d6backed Over | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 58c | 48.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 55c | 48.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 44c | 46.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 55c | 40.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 34.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 40c | 28.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 56c | 26.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Under | 55c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…1caabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…67dcbacked Over | 44c | 24.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Under | 57c | 17.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Under | 57c | 17.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.