WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38ee15c0aff8c59230a908c58a272dbd9f53d0ccae99c239ba609bd681fcb49a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 19,610$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,998.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 9,952$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.8 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 9,201$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.24 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…5bb2backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 6,118$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 3,130$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.32 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 2,700$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 2,599$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.43 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 2,513$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.16 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 2,056$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.33 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,834$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,712$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.12 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,449$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.61 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 1,420$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 1,244$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.98 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 978.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 537.81$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 500.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 489.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 377.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 369.34$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 307.34$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 296.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 289.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 283.01$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 245.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 203.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Golden State Valkyries | 8c | 199.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 183.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 135$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 121.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 114.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 99.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 69.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 65.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 47.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 46.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 38.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 36.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 31.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 29.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 24.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 23.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 23.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 21.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.