WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58cf2d2d38b57cc2aa77bf1f68a84221d462e08bb342e582c3b781d029c4799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Over | 55c | 15,520$8,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,516.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 45c | 12,066$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,668.67 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 58c | 5,501$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 4,783$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 3,056$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.05 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 1,790$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.01 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 780.14$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 732.48$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.87 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 35c | 688.12$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.28 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 677.92$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.04 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 597.24$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.59 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 59c | 507.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 42c | 448.8$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.01 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 417.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.34 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Over | 61c | 406.36$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…d00dbacked Over | 60c | 368.33$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Over | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 277.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 44c | 265$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 46c | 261.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 225.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 200.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 22c | 199$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 181.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 159.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 48c | 128.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…9c2fbacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 120.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under | 39c | 112.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 48c | 97.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 88.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Under | 41c | 86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 49c | 82.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 46c | 70.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 36c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 50.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 56c | 47.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 30.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 45c | 28.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 54c | 27.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…67dcbacked Over | 55c | 24.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 52c | 20.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.