WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b348e33a5d6833a2557c891db1ee7c48cbedcdd17d2b40a0919762b668c5b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 5,845$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.2 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Over | 56c | 3,432$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 51c | 2,027$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.79 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 48c | 1,950$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 1,705$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.42 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 59c | 879.77$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.4 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 810.5$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.21 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 699$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.51 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 13c | 678.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 637.71$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.15 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 60c | 444$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 41c | 276.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 38c | 273.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 53c | 266.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under | 51c | 219.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 200.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 53c | 200.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 180.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 60c | 167.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 159$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 119.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 20c | 108.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 38c | 88.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 76.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 58c | 69.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 51c | 58.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 52c | 58.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 40c | 52.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 41c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 62c | 45.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 39.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 53c | 35.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…1736backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 74c | 33.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 39c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 32.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 50c | 30.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 43c | 28.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Under | 40c | 27.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 49c | 26.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 48c | 26.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e10…d25bbacked Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.