WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c3275c84458d381c44f3dd86faa2e6dc23c78656147283fa6bedf492e807c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Over | 50c | 2,358$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.77 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,270$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.32 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 2,095$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.27 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Over | 50c | 1,740$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 1,305$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.77 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,037$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.94 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 596.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…35d7backed Over | 51c | 452.93$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 382.23$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 38c | 265.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.21 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 260.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 61c | 188.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 186.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 39c | 182.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 41c | 48.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b9…e2debacked Under | 41c | 47.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Over | 52c | 39.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Under | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 57c | 19.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 76c | 18.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.