WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a10d453bacfc71fc4d223cf7a80b62a84cfa6437308394009e0247cc948e380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 3,313$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.78 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 49c | 3,310$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Over | 49c | 2,858$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 2,016$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.79 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 1,593$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.57 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 57c | 1,455$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.42 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 1,326$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Over | 43c | 1,264$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 976.47$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.83 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 55c | 903.39$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.88 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 56c | 895.65$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.02 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 802.15$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.17 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 56c | 793.5$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.3 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 53c | 754.87$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.03 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 596.81$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.45 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 564$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 56c | 439.89$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 352.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 65c | 339.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 287.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 272.88$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 50c | 218.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 47c | 214.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 38c | 212.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 55c | 191.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 43c | 180.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 68c | 161.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 50c | 146.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 51c | 145.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 132.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 76c | 132.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 62c | 128.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 42c | 120.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Under | 41c | 118$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 47c | 115.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 44c | 97.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 95.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 53c | 95.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 77.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 43c | 76.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 43c | 59.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under | 42c | 50.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 47c | 44.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 42.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 45c | 35.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 68c | 33.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Under | 50c | 29.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 49c | 27.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 40c | 26.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 24.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 51c | 23.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Under | 64c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 19.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 72c | 19.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.