Premier League · resolved market
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46d816c6c2a8450f40c6ed6875e58ae8642adf4f5bdd1eee559ee1af7903d25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0fc…b59ebacked No | 3c | 1,200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 19c | 768.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 37c | 746.97$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.81 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 14c | 625$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.69 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 582.74$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.78 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 428.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 19c | 402.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.88 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 303$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.58 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 58c | 269.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 242.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 177.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 31c | 153.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 75c | 140.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…20debacked Yes | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 22c | 124$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…68c2backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 51c | 94.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 80c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.