Premier League · resolved market
Will Preston North End FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c884df259ba4308a8c05f4818ad0ae33c3badd8fa76d90cf311b4ae86cf30dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,000$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.49 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 1,741$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.37 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 1,275$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.95 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 62c | 745.97$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 14c | 666.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 2c | 554.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 526.09$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.84 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 61c | 409$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 54c | 328.13$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 322.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Yes | 25c | 287$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 20c | 234.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 224$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 209.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 70c | 185$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 138.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 21c | 72.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 31c | 56.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…99abbacked Yes | 43c | 46.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 43.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e0f5backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.