NHL · resolved market
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Milwaukee Admirals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cbc36d046dad71def9c4fa3b354aa3870b66a91f0fe042839a6db747faa8be4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grand Rapids Griffinsof Grand Rapids Griffins, Milwaukee Admirals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1488…0672backed Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 225$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 58c | 143.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 119$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Milwaukee Admirals | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 76.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…d117backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 59c | 76.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Milwaukee Admirals | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.