Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ddb16351f90802464727ac050efa6b13f56223f846c0c64f8d2665d9d7f3adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 1,628$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 75c | 1,511$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,166$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 6c | 748.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 28c | 700.06$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 77c | 679.08$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.73 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 73c | 500.13$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 23c | 469.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 73c | 450$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 19c | 393.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 26c | 288.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 72c | 233.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 73c | 216.04$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 18c | 180.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 37c | 180.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 75c | 172$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 24c | 141.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 73c | 98.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 74c | 62.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 72c | 57.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 74c | 55.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 26c | 50.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 32.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 43c | 25.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Celtic FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.