CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs SkinRave (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ca36ad4050a60e45b1f2cba8e40c1c48dc95f483982b5ac05b84f686ad5d18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof Voca, SkinRave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed SkinRave | 42c | 7,868$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.15 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Voca | 58c | 2,521$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Voca | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Voca | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed SkinRave | 21c | 999.59$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Voca | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Voca | 53c | 781.13$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.13 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed SkinRave | 47c | 637.21$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.49 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Voca | 64c | 622.05$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.92 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Voca | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed SkinRave | 12c | 359.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked SkinRave | 52c | 350$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Voca | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Voca | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked SkinRave | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Voca | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Voca | 73c | 182.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Voca | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Voca | 41c | 119.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Voca | 79c | 112.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Voca | 54c | 82.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…3022backed Voca | 54c | 56.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Voca | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked SkinRave | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked Voca | 48c | 37.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked SkinRave | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Voca | 53c | 31.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdc…acadbacked Voca | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Voca | 72c | 31.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed SkinRave | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…f5efbacked Voca | 60c | 29.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Voca | 54c | 29.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Voca | 54c | 26.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Voca | 45c | 24.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…91b7backed Voca | 54c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs SkinRave (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs SkinRave - Map 2 WinnerSkinRave won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.