NHL · resolved market
SHL: Faerjestad vs. Luleaa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x679700624adf45c3ad1804c0edffd417484af7e4a513d5a50f5f90e30d084b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Faerjestadof Faerjestad, Luleaa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Faerjestad | 58c | 7,006$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Luleaa | 42c | 2,348$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Luleaa | 42c | 1,995$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.9 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Luleaa | 43c | 1,427$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.23 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Luleaa | 49c | 791.96$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Faerjestad | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Luleaa | 42c | 452.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Faerjestad | 55c | 286$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Luleaa | 42c | 264.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Luleaa | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Faerjestad | 56c | 162.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Luleaa | 42c | 140.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Faerjestad | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Luleaa | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Faerjestad | 76c | 95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Faerjestad | 23c | 83.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Luleaa | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Luleaa | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Faerjestad | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Luleaa | 41c | 64.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Luleaa | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…ce1cbacked Luleaa | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Luleaa | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Luleaa | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Faerjestad | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Luleaa | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Luleaa | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Luleaa | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Luleaa | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Luleaa | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Luleaa | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.