WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1c53562e6a763ef26f4ef78c0eeff6bbc1776a3ee7f7c0d679adabbe92dfa5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 87,186$68,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,593.15 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 21c | 30,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire | 0c | 20,750$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 12c | 19,564$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.23 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed PortlandFire | 22c | 16,683$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.75 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire | 21c | 14,798$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.22 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed PortlandFire | 20c | 12,845$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.92 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked PortlandFire | 20c | 11,080$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.2 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 9,646$7,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.96 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed PortlandFire | 22c | 9,504$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.97 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed PortlandFire | 1c | 7,293$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked PortlandFire | 20c | 5,670$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.24 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PortlandFire | 20c | 5,298$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.81 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 22c | 5,120$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.92 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked PortlandFire | 22c | 4,784$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed PortlandFire | 17c | 4,374$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.89 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 3,801$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 3,778$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.6 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked PortlandFire | 2c | 3,663$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 2,784$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 7c | 2,611$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked PortlandFire | 19c | 2,471$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.7 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed PortlandFire | 24c | 2,274$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.74 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 22c | 2,102$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.02 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed PortlandFire | 17c | 2,045$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked PortlandFire | 22c | 1,768$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.03 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked PortlandFire | 1c | 1,768$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked PortlandFire | 16c | 1,760$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.87 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed PortlandFire | 8c | 1,660$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 1,593$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed PortlandFire | 22c | 1,428$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.2 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked PortlandFire | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PortlandFire | 8c | 1,381$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PortlandFire | 5c | 1,374$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed PortlandFire | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked PortlandFire | 12c | 1,306$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 12c | 1,258$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked PortlandFire | 27c | 1,229$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked PortlandFire | 1c | 1,167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PortlandFire | 8c | 1,161$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PortlandFire | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed PortlandFire | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed PortlandFire | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed PortlandFire | 22c | 998.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire | 12c | 924.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked PortlandFire | 13c | 856.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked PortlandFire | 21c | 835$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed PortlandFire | 11c | 818.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed PortlandFire | 26c | 769.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed PortlandFire | 5c | 750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked PortlandFire | 11c | 745.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed PortlandFire | 21c | 651.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d6c2backed PortlandFire | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked PortlandFire | 11c | 600$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PortlandFire | 11c | 579.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed PortlandFire | 5c | 554.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed PortlandFire | 12c | 531.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed PortlandFire | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked PortlandFire | 12c | 426.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed PortlandFire | 24c | 420.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PortlandFire | 5c | 378.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PortlandFire | 21c | 377$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PortlandFire | 16c | 360$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed PortlandFire | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 342.95$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…9b3abacked PortlandFire | 23c | 326$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…6c37backed PortlandFire | 5c | 319.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed PortlandFire | 19c | 316.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 313$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 10c | 308.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PortlandFire | 7c | 304.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed PortlandFire | 15c | 296.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PortlandFire | 21c | 294.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed PortlandFire | 16c | 264$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 262.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked PortlandFire | 21c | 250$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed PortlandFire | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PortlandFire | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 242.14$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 227.25$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed PortlandFire | 23c | 210$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed PortlandFire | 5c | 202.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed PortlandFire | 22c | 201.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…ac8cbacked PortlandFire | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked PortlandFire | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed PortlandFire | 24c | 197.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Las Vegas Aces | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed PortlandFire | 19c | 171.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed PortlandFire | 11c | 168.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PortlandFire | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 144.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked PortlandFire | 11c | 143.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e21cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 120.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed PortlandFire | 20c | 109.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked PortlandFire | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirethis page
- A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.