Euroleague · resolved market
BC Dubai vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792c51ef77f7ced86a1da247cb86cc3ec4022e4fc49ee294a03688f353d2f74e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof BC Dubai, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC Dubai | 40c | 3,804$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.08 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paris Basketball | 66c | 2,924$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.11 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked BC Dubai | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Paris Basketball | 39c | 1,296$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked BC Dubai | 65c | 1,080$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paris Basketball | 53c | 924.46$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.59 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 872.8$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BC Dubai | 50c | 838.08$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.92 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked BC Dubai | 63c | 426.78$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Paris Basketball | 42c | 426.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 344.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Paris Basketball | 34c | 333.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paris Basketball | 34c | 321.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked BC Dubai | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed BC Dubai | 37c | 270$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball | 35c | 248.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked BC Dubai | 66c | 237.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed BC Dubai | 41c | 220.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 213$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Paris Basketball | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 146.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed Paris Basketball | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Paris Basketball | 38c | 134$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed BC Dubai | 66c | 117$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Paris Basketball | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed BC Dubai | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Paris Basketball | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked BC Dubai | 45c | 99.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Paris Basketball | 65c | 92.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…3f74backed BC Dubai | 43c | 84.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked BC Dubai | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…4f76backed BC Dubai | 44c | 69.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Paris Basketball | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed BC Dubai | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Paris Basketball | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed BC Dubai | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed BC Dubai | 65c | 45.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…23b3backed BC Dubai | 51c | 33.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed BC Dubai | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked BC Dubai | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed BC Dubai | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked BC Dubai | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked BC Dubai | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed BC Dubai | 39c | 29.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed BC Dubai | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed BC Dubai | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.