Lol · resolved market
LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5cfe725a9ba4b399b9ca1dc01a4203c8ad96aa1d0c64a7a96e10a119a2b359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof SU Esports, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Dark Passage | 6c | 3,744$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Dark Passage | 6c | 3,740$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.93 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2208backed Dark Passage | 6c | 2,741$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Dark Passage | 7c | 1,900$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Dark Passage | 12c | 1,669$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Dark Passage | 6c | 1,619$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Dark Passage | 6c | 1,584$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dark Passage | 2c | 1,583$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed Dark Passage | 15c | 1,367$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Dark Passage | 14c | 1,254$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed Dark Passage | 5c | 1,195$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f18…8adbbacked Dark Passage | 18c | 983.39$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Dark Passage | 10c | 866.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Dark Passage | 6c | 788.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed Dark Passage | 19c | 778.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…cf1ebacked Dark Passage | 8c | 709.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dark Passage | 7c | 707.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…dd32backed Dark Passage | 17c | 632.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Dark Passage | 16c | 628.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 60.5%155 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Dark Passage | 6c | 574$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Dark Passage | 18c | 500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Dark Passage | 7c | 481.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Dark Passage | 16c | 437.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dark Passage | 7c | 423.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Dark Passage | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Dark Passage | 8c | 350.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Dark Passage | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…c3e0backed Dark Passage | 11c | 297$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Dark Passage | 10c | 294.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…e244backed Dark Passage | 20c | 210.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed SU Esports | 79c | 210.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Dark Passage | 6c | 201.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…bd2cbacked Dark Passage | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…866bbacked Dark Passage | 12c | 188.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…9e3fbacked Dark Passage | 20c | 172.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…4349backed Dark Passage | 15c | 132.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Dark Passage | 18c | 125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Dark Passage | 11c | 116.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 136 | 64%87 W · 49 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Dark Passage | 19c | 115.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…792dbacked Dark Passage | 13c | 103.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Dark Passage | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Dark Passage | 14c | 98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed SU Esports | 79c | 50.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SU Esports | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed SU Esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: SU (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)Dark Passage won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 WinnerDark Passage won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 4 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.