Lol · resolved market
LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x537f8df4ba312948b47b2b0f7ed2768203e462c4cfa54cf163bcd040ee0339b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Passageof SU Esports, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Dark Passage | 15c | 3,167$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.79 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Dark Passage | 18c | 2,573$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.54 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Dark Passage | 14c | 1,965$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.46 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dark Passage | 14c | 1,871$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.59 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Dark Passage | 17c | 750$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Dark Passage | 14c | 600.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.01 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Dark Passage | 5c | 599.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.96 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Dark Passage | 15c | 594$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Dark Passage | 71c | 374$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dark Passage | 13c | 362.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.67 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Dark Passage | 79c | 343.55$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Dark Passage | 14c | 220.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Dark Passage | 14c | 190.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed Dark Passage | 73c | 154.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 155 | 71%110 W · 45 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Dark Passage | 75c | 151.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Dark Passage | 10c | 143.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Dark Passage | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 228 | 63.2%144 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Dark Passage | 17c | 119.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Dark Passage | 14c | 117.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Dark Passage | 17c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SU Esports | 64c | 80.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Dark Passage | 20c | 64.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Dark Passage | 19c | 63.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Dark Passage | 71c | 49.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed SU Esports | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed SU Esports | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed SU Esports | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa20…c732backed Dark Passage | 79c | 34.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dark Passage | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Dark Passage | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Dark Passage | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed SU Esports | 60c | 18.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -9.7wins | -0.42per pick | 55cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dark Passage | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed Dark Passage | 79c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +12.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SU (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)Dark Passage won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 4 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.