TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58f8…dc70backed Under71c20,556$14,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,592.0640370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Over29c6,807$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,829.7811428.9%33 W · 81 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x732f…f245backed Over25c2,623$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.051258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over36c2,599$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.1818336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over31c2,229$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.961,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over33c2,080$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.262,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Under70c2,002$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.2335848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Under62c1,889$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.0764443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over29c1,686$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.6954934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Over29c1,517$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.77744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…6c6abacked Under74c1,359$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+194.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e20…9830backed Under72c1,319$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea91…2a69backed Over29c1,284$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over29c999.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.0825342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under68c927.95$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.0362451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over30c908.06$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.4324535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f4…1cb2backed Under67c886.3$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over34c882.44$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.671,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over28c754.65$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.826042.3%110 W · 150 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over26c750$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.545338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73c…bb83backed Under74c673.71$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Over30c623.33$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.336731.3%21 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over28c607.59$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.468132.1%26 W · 55 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa834…1c25backed Under72c600.01$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.212152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over34c507.87$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1112843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Over29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3553336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under72c500$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35964453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d48…37a3backed Over29c480$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce7f…d7d3backed Under75c460.85$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked Over29c419.7$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.654654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over15c364.25$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.611,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0e…8ba9backed Over28c361.09$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.233327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over29c321.9$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.551,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over29c321.55$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.343839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Over29c304.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4316035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6af0…fea7backed Over30c301.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7410157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fa…2b82backed Over30c301.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.635052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over16c285.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.062,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over25c255.4$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.571,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under73c223$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.411369%78 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…6307backed Under69c219.74$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.27812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.47per pick60cpaid-84.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked Under71c197.27$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.212270.5%86 W · 36 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5452…d12ebacked Under72c190.78$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3610265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over27c190.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.021,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over26c185.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.815642.9%67 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Over29c172.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0440741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under73c166.1$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.361,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e03…ecbdbacked Over30c163.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d1…a23fbacked Under61c162.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Over31c157.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.728259.8%49 W · 33 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Over37c149.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3428353%150 W · 133 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Over32c130$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.425240.1%101 W · 151 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x464e…6653backed Under74c110.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ace…55ebbacked Over29c101.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf151…24c7backed Under74c100.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.629458.5%55 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7215660.9%95 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under72c99.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.991,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over29c98.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.51,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Under75c91.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.287352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Over27c88.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.894744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Over29c85.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.738835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Under63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.440546.2%187 W · 218 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over32c79.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7517136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over23c75.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.741,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…d11bbacked Over30c75.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Under74c72.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.627463.5%47 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under72c72.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4218241.8%76 W · 106 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd673…2305backed Under72c72.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.423470.6%24 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Under71c71.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4910555.2%58 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Over27c68.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.653650%18 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under71c65.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5646248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Under77c65.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506569.2%45 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over25c61.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over24c58.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.91,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Under68c57.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.954067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Over23c57.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0211735%41 W · 76 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…5badbacked Over36c55.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7612261.5%75 W · 47 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f6…6ba1backed Under71c55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.92075%15 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under22c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.173,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.519344%85 W · 108 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under58c49.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0544745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…cf3cbacked Over29c48.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Under74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011963.9%76 W · 43 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc780…40a4backed Under77c39.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under73c33.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3774849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over79c33.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9797854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Over36c29.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.163050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Under69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under74c19.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3123842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under71c19.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5928149.8%140 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a7…3172backed Under72c17.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Under74c14.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4710746.7%50 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f74…fa8bbacked Under75c13.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.