Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e7995310c357cb1c719ee945969b09f4a9dd770e2f62d0a87e4de622334dd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 12c | 1,995$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.97 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 12c | 1,825$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.62 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…1c12backed Over | 40c | 1,014$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.41 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +126%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 56c | 520$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.1 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 14c | 493.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.59 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 42c | 269.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Over | 14c | 170.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Under | 56c | 144.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 56c | 113$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 18c | 55.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…2f40backed Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 53c | 21.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: SU (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)Dark Passage won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 3 WinnerDark Passage won
- LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 4 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.