Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b30f85654140561b4e3401811560facbb41e9ba5297110ec6adc2ed632b2096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.97 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 15,157$7,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,423.49 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 2,822$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.77 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 53c | 2,767$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.36 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 2,641$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.5 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 2,126$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.16 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 49c | 1,080$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.38 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 50c | 1,080$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 49c | 902.8$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 606.35$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.11 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 51c | 547.82$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.43 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 44c | 521.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 47c | 470$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.35 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 444.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…3904backed Yes | 51c | 414.33$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 50c | 326.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.31 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 17c | 323.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 49c | 289.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 45c | 273.36$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 48c | 250.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 12c | 243$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 198.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 22c | 148.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 60c | 144.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 136.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 116.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 42c | 112.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d03…9d52backed Yes | 52c | 105.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 51c | 100.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 53c | 93.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 43c | 93.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 56c | 83.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 44c | 79.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed No | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 54c | 75.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed No | 15c | 66.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ca…f748backed Yes | 52c | 57.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…1b80backed Yes | 52c | 57.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a7…270fbacked Yes | 52c | 56.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 59c | 54.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Yes | 60c | 51.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 57c | 50.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Yes | 60c | 49.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked No | 51c | 48.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 49c | 48.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes | 51c | 43.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Yes | 60c | 43.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 57c | 40.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 68c | 39.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 45c | 33.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 55c | 30.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 48c | 27.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Yes | 52c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…ca58backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will US Mondorf-les-Bains vs. SK Dinamo Tbilisi end in a draw?No won
- Will US Mondorf-les-Bains win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.