TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: HMBLE vs P11 Esports (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HMBLEof HMBLE, P11 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58f8…dc70backed HMBLE78c41,962$32,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,118.0540970.2%287 W · 122 L+30.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked P11 Esports21c30,680$6,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,585.6777131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed HMBLE78c13,124$10,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.3512759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked P11 Esports21c9,700$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01329536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed HMBLE79c9,378$7,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.4216454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed HMBLE79c8,000$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68027735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed P11 Esports23c6,015$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.5246033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1471…8167backed P11 Esports21c5,094$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4b1…4fdbbacked P11 Esports22c4,400$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed P11 Esports24c4,322$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76f…8536backed P11 Esports22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8803138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8586…8207backed P11 Esports21c3,798$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed P11 Esports23c3,628$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.5948742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9024…a444backed P11 Esports6c3,175$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-74%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed P11 Esports16c3,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed P11 Esports22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed P11 Esports1c2,400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,02547.9%491 W · 534 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed P11 Esports20c2,209$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2769041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked P11 Esports20c1,834$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8192450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed HMBLE79c1,673$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2911643.1%50 W · 66 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked HMBLE76c1,447$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5261645.3%279 W · 337 L+36.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed P11 Esports21c1,430$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.775342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked P11 Esports38c1,385$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5283542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked P11 Esports21c1,356$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2666942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4f…2a37backed HMBLE78c1,300$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2862100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa7…cf57backed P11 Esports23c1,254$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed P11 Esports23c1,241$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4336334.4%125 W · 238 L-21.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204d…1d52backed HMBLE77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed HMBLE79c1,180$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed P11 Esports7c1,176$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4629927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked P11 Esports26c1,135$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1214429.2%42 W · 102 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa26b…b267backed HMBLE78c1,100$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1551…1ff8backed HMBLE78c1,100$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2422100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…5872backed P11 Esports25c1,034$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006f…219abacked P11 Esports25c1,020$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f5…254bbacked HMBLE75c1,020$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed P11 Esports5c1,013$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.989810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed P11 Esports25c1,008$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7641433.6%139 W · 275 L-30.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x259b…567dbacked HMBLE77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed P11 Esports20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x273b…9a3bbacked P11 Esports25c927$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x897d…bddebacked HMBLE78c900$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1f…2289backed HMBLE79c900$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b8…180bbacked HMBLE79c900$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1893100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked P11 Esports22c900$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20144751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked P11 Esports24c828.7$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.71010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb07b…6dfbbacked HMBLE79c800$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked HMBLE74c728.58$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6813259.1%78 W · 54 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a1f…22b0backed P11 Esports24c675$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed P11 Esports23c658.63$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4823932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b7…63bbbacked HMBLE75c650$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed P11 Esports24c646.25$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.142735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked P11 Esports20c592$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.22,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee30…acc9backed HMBLE58c581.28$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c61…ae77backed P11 Esports25c568$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked P11 Esports23c516$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.181,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed P11 Esports5c500.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked P11 Esports20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec78…110cbacked HMBLE75c466$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58e…93d6backed HMBLE75c461$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed P11 Esports26c450$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b5…b7cfbacked HMBLE76c429$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed P11 Esports23c391.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011833.9%40 W · 78 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x82cd…9b96backed HMBLE75c384$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked P11 Esports19c368.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.91,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b9…b227backed P11 Esports25c356$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.922152.4%11 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick30cpaid+85.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked P11 Esports14c353.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb927…148abacked HMBLE75c335$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed HMBLE75c325$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.254953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked P11 Esports21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6319367.9%131 W · 62 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed P11 Esports21c294$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7414650%73 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked HMBLE78c257.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.052147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d6…1582backed HMBLE77c254$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked HMBLE80c249.24$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.852623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.5wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-53.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6255…d51abacked HMBLE76c246$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…7494backed HMBLE75c233$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked P11 Esports13c230$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.428211%31 W · 251 L-19.9wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked P11 Esports25c224.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.759741.2%40 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed HMBLE78c223.08$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.082853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked P11 Esports15c212.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8123023%53 W · 177 L-19.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed P11 Esports23c211$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7914763.3%93 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked P11 Esports9c209.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33987%28 W · 370 L-123.7wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.3%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x7c71…e6aebacked P11 Esports5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked HMBLE65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709754.6%53 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed HMBLE74c193.86$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67df…772fbacked HMBLE79c190.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.473100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46b3…2b66backed P11 Esports26c180$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32fc…f467backed HMBLE75c177.92$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked HMBLE75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe44…1720backed P11 Esports21c153.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.194837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed P11 Esports20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked HMBLE74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147448.6%36 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc3…2b11backed P11 Esports25c128$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed P11 Esports24c126.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4316934.3%58 W · 111 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed HMBLE75c110$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2827248.9%133 W · 139 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed P11 Esports23c109.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6315945.3%72 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…7066backed P11 Esports19c107.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked HMBLE79c103.33$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.735545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed P11 Esports25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f27…781dbacked HMBLE75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick78cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.