Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Eala
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc88cecb425adf2c34bdfd16c69831eddce8bf61b7232f885477ac55c1b9680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Parksof Parks, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d74…bb57backed Eala | 0c | 31,160$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Eala | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Parks | 26c | 10,814$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,982.35 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Eala | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Eala | 14c | 5,710$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.63 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Eala | 74c | 4,653$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.53 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Parks | 52c | 4,079$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Parks | 23c | 2,862$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.89 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Eala | 77c | 2,778$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Parks | 21c | 1,861$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.48 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Eala | 49c | 1,529$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.29 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eala | 58c | 1,277$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Parks | 39c | 1,203$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Parks | 31c | 995.09$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.78 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Eala | 63c | 874.13$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.55 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eala | 79c | 645.71$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eala | 73c | 613.64$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eala | 49c | 584.64$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.73 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Eala | 56c | 478.19$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.12 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Eala | 33c | 433.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Eala | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Eala | 50c | 384.68$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Parks | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Eala | 74c | 332.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.41 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Parks | 47c | 328.45$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Parks | 67c | 328.38$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Eala | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Eala | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Parks | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Eala | 80c | 285.59$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.23 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Eala | 35c | 282.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Eala | 80c | 239$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Eala | 11c | 226.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Eala | 47c | 204.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Eala | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Eala | 72c | 188$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Parks | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Eala | 42c | 149$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Eala | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Parks | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…145cbacked Parks | 63c | 111.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Parks | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Parks | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Parks | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Eala | 70c | 71.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Eala | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked Parks | 66c | 66.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Parks | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Parks | 25c | 46.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…c9a6backed Parks | 57c | 44.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…38cebacked Eala | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Eala | 69c | 36.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Eala | 79c | 26.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Eala | 78c | 25.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Eala | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Eala | 78c | 23.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Eala | 54c | 20.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…1cc9backed Eala | 70c | 16.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Eala | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Ealathis page
- Parks vs. Eala: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Parks vs. Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Parks vs EalaEala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.