Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c0ca4408fb230096a7b371e9a1ebe69ef74a4b8a354427b152e32229cce1be9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Heroic, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Heroic | 67c | 34,199$22,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,913.59 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed GamerLegion | 33c | 11,436$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,662.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 9,880$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.6 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 4,046$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.82 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Heroic | 57c | 3,459$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.86 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heroic | 55c | 3,434$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.81 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed GamerLegion | 68c | 3,000$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked GamerLegion | 33c | 2,935$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 2,701$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed GamerLegion | 33c | 1,673$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.73 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 1,576$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.51 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 51c | 1,559$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.56 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed GamerLegion | 33c | 844.64$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.91 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic | 21c | 747.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed GamerLegion | 33c | 600.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.19 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed GamerLegion | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Heroic | 30c | 583.15$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked GamerLegion | 45c | 541$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Heroic | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed GamerLegion | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 494.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.19 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Heroic | 34c | 440$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 44c | 390.28$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed GamerLegion | 61c | 367.46$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heroic | 66c | 309.1$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.82 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed GamerLegion | 34c | 276.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Heroic | 67c | 266.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed GamerLegion | 32c | 215.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Heroic | 69c | 204.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Heroic | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Heroic | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Heroic | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed GamerLegion | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed GamerLegion | 49c | 197.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed GamerLegion | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 187.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed GamerLegion | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed GamerLegion | 69c | 181.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed GamerLegion | 32c | 159.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 43c | 154.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed GamerLegion | 32c | 145$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Heroic | 59c | 141$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Heroic | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked GamerLegion | 43c | 102.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Heroic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed GamerLegion | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GamerLegion | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…22dabacked Heroic | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed GamerLegion | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Heroic | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3faa…bf0cbacked Heroic | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…b521backed GamerLegion | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Heroic | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed GamerLegion | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…91b9backed Heroic | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed GamerLegion | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Heroic | 65c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Heroic | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Heroic | 43c | 58.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed GamerLegion | 33c | 52.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5385…4720backed GamerLegion | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Heroic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 70cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 39.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked GamerLegion | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…e988backed Heroic | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed GamerLegion | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…8c9bbacked Heroic | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Heroic | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…5fbdbacked Heroic | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…b9fcbacked GamerLegion | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Heroic | 62c | 26.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…7d08backed Heroic | 60c | 21.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed GamerLegion | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Heroic | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Heroic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Heroic | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.