Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x145ef6338b0803a80ec938b1e4df95f4192707f1033ec46ccaa92c216cba8b34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Heroic, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Heroic | 55c | 5,448$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.44 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 5,123$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.11 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 45c | 4,629$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.11 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Heroic | 64c | 2,163$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.32 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Heroic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 44c | 1,720$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.15 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Heroic | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 51c | 1,257$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic | 52c | 1,149$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked GamerLegion | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.72 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heroic | 39c | 1,000$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Heroic | 77c | 900$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.58 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 13c | 530$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Heroic | 51c | 364.78$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked GamerLegion | 14c | 277.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.78 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked GamerLegion | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed GamerLegion | 51c | 171.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Heroic | 27c | 100.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GamerLegion | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed GamerLegion | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…8c74backed GamerLegion | 47c | 84.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Heroic | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 53.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed GamerLegion | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)GamerLegion won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.