Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x824fe72126255f510fb86c6ac1cec22a9017579d525c68fd2f5ba3952550a0dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Heroic, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 57c | 6,181$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Heroic | 44c | 5,952$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.86 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Heroic | 38c | 4,298$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.54 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed GamerLegion | 59c | 3,436$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.63 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked GamerLegion | 75c | 1,356$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic | 31c | 1,276$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.17 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed GamerLegion | 79c | 1,025$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.5 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Heroic | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 31c | 712.77$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic | 33c | 663.45$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked GamerLegion | 59c | 599.78$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Heroic | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed GamerLegion | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Heroic | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked Heroic | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed GamerLegion | 74c | 405.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked GamerLegion | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Heroic | 55c | 255$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed GamerLegion | 68c | 230.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed GamerLegion | 58c | 219.44$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Heroic | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 169.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3faa…bf0cbacked Heroic | 42c | 118.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Heroic | 19c | 107.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Heroic | 20c | 102$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed GamerLegion | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Heroic | 45c | 91.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Heroic | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…41f9backed Heroic | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…e433backed Heroic | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Heroic | 46c | 44.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…91b9backed GamerLegion | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Heroic | 55c | 22.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)GamerLegion won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.