NHL · resolved market
AHL: Texas Stars vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c7c2139acf54fa21f0efbdea6fa96aba2f1eb4bf4861eeec107a5ca46d59208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Starsof Texas Stars, Grand Rapids Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58a5…42cbbacked Texas Stars | 32c | 1,792$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…1e2ebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 1,359$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…c961backed Texas Stars | 32c | 938$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 754.43$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.13 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa707…03c1backed Texas Stars | 32c | 581$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…743cbacked Texas Stars | 32c | 537$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…d210backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 528$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…9e13backed Texas Stars | 32c | 519$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…928cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 433$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…85dbbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 432$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…0268backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 410$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…0312backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 336$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Texas Stars | 33c | 299.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.32 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…e5e6backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 271$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…24f9backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 266$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…8d30backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 245$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Texas Stars | 32c | 136$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Texas Stars | 33c | 100.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Texas Stars | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Texas Stars | 31c | 90$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…106ebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…bf82backed Texas Stars | 35c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…02f3backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 29.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…cca9backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 67c | 27.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…ce60backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.