TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Houston Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, Cincinnati Bearcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats45c6,176$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.515,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Houston Cougars66c3,581$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.5484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Houston Cougars61c3,533$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.984057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Cougars53c2,851$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.781,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Bearcats55c2,271$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.83,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats30c2,104$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.2212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Houston Cougars57c1,980$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.5125043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats30c1,452$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.61,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Cincinnati Bearcats23c1,352$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.5246446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c1,149$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.362,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6e…167abacked Cincinnati Bearcats50c1,135$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb8d…da9dbacked Houston Cougars52c1,033$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.952035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Houston Cougars70c1,030$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.721,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats23c999.57$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.691,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Cincinnati Bearcats46c840$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.16543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cincinnati Bearcats38c794.2$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.532,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Cincinnati Bearcats27c723.76$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4542327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Cincinnati Bearcats37c716.35$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.721,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats26c700.3$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Cougars75c697.44$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Houston Cougars70c661.87$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Cougars69c596.5$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.561,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Houston Cougars66c589.44$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4140147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Houston Cougars65c536.36$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.81,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Houston Cougars61c517$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8819446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed Cincinnati Bearcats44c499.07$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Houston Cougars48c498.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.161,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Cincinnati Bearcats42c493.47$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0712354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Houston Cougars56c491.07$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.073638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Houston Cougars58c484$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0461446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Houston Cougars78c474$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.592,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c86…8a89backed Houston Cougars65c419.84$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Houston Cougars55c402.82$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3638343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cincinnati Bearcats34c393.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.842,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Cincinnati Bearcats26c380.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats15c374.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.671,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Houston Cougars52c308.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6911444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Houston Cougars49c307.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3714325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6507…6e4fbacked Houston Cougars76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Houston Cougars73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Cincinnati Bearcats23c267.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.339440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Cincinnati Bearcats16c228.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.522,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Cincinnati Bearcats44c214.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.792524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Houston Cougars58c207.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.537140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Houston Cougars59c206.71$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.339771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Cincinnati Bearcats15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Cincinnati Bearcats15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Houston Cougars50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats35c186.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.854,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Houston Cougars50c182.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.993,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4705…9dcdbacked Houston Cougars64c175.88$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Houston Cougars63c147.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.771,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Bearcats30c143.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.654,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Houston Cougars52c131.8$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.922,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Houston Cougars70c105$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.11,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Cincinnati Bearcats27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2734649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Cincinnati Bearcats15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Bearcats33c90.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8865825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Houston Cougars79c88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…3995backed Houston Cougars56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars62c61.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.375,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Cincinnati Bearcats45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.715556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Cincinnati Bearcats35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.391,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Cincinnati Bearcats32c53.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5990…c2edbacked Houston Cougars52c52.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Houston Cougars67c46.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3953646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Houston Cougars59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3723544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Cougars74c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.923,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Houston Cougars67c40.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.344673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Cincinnati Bearcats25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb16c…4ceabacked Houston Cougars63c31.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.722360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats33c31.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Cincinnati Bearcats34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8c…2ce1backed Houston Cougars68c29.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Houston Cougars71c28.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked Houston Cougars54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.687254.2%39 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa848…68fcbacked Houston Cougars75c20.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.122646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Houston Cougars70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Houston Cougars55c19.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9614846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Houston Cougars61c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.633964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb694…023ebacked Houston Cougars68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.851758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.