TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82d2…beeabacked 100 Thieves50c4,949$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.621,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked 100 Thieves55c3,273$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.2692456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GenOne50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.492,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves42c2,173$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.075,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GenOne58c1,479$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.551,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked GenOne58c1,216$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.441,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked GenOne63c1,034$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.033,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked GenOne58c1,021$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.32,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed GenOne55c1,000$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.324,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed GenOne45c752.59$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5821949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves37c593.77$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.082,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed GenOne46c521.13$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.312748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed GenOne50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked GenOne61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30589248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked GenOne48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24038844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked 100 Thieves52c474.52$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7730450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed GenOne45c394.47$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.089146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3621…3c9fbacked 100 Thieves51c392.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.154346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked GenOne44c380$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.27644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GenOne43c326.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.57,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked 100 Thieves50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12530349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked GenOne56c249.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9958343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed 100 Thieves47c208$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.247949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked GenOne55c180.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed GenOne55c161.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.622044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed GenOne55c160.65$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3661948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed 100 Thieves43c150$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.545645.2%206 W · 250 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed GenOne44c130$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.245754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed GenOne45c125.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4589046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed 100 Thieves33c115.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1530939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked 100 Thieves33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6722037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed GenOne42c99.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.927152.1%37 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed 100 Thieves42c90.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5222049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed GenOne57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked GenOne60c85.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.545052%26 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed GenOne60c85.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed GenOne54c75.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.624254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f1…dd82backed 100 Thieves53c72.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.449152.7%48 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed 100 Thieves47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3927554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed 100 Thieves34c61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2617038.8%66 W · 104 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed GenOne56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.660451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked GenOne20c59.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.971747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked 100 Thieves51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4227156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed 100 Thieves43c57.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8550051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed GenOne45c50.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8640857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed GenOne48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418233%60 W · 122 L-22.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed GenOne55c48.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8251348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked 100 Thieves80c46.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2521254.2%115 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed 100 Thieves46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485736.8%21 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed 100 Thieves42c42.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.539849%48 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked 100 Thieves33c39.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5230638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked GenOne64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209366.7%62 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked 100 Thieves32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked GenOne48c29.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed 100 Thieves46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed 100 Thieves60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b4…a38abacked 100 Thieves78c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x082a…cc8abacked 100 Thieves80c13.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.723461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.