TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof GenOne, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c99…0c88backed GenOne33c2,999$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.612,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 100 Thieves66c2,595$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.391,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves63c2,582$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.945,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GenOne30c1,983$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.531,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves70c1,087$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.11,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed GenOne32c1,021$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.464,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed GenOne25c1,018$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4143544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed GenOne1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked GenOne38c999.97$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.991,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed GenOne34c840.85$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4437145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves66c762.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.864,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked GenOne30c624.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.173,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GenOne35c581.73$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.842,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne24c560$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.55,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed GenOne37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed GenOne37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked GenOne27c422$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.582,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne31c321.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.184,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves69c311.79$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.743,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3621…3c9fbacked 100 Thieves68c294.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.124346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked GenOne37c291.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.736740.3%27 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked GenOne46c262.94$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.139772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked 100 Thieves68c249.72$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0230450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked 100 Thieves68c248.83$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9911446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed GenOne35c228.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.641,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GenOne23c219.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.623,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves70c163.66$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.622,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked 100 Thieves66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.430349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked 100 Thieves74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.611,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed 100 Thieves72c149.02$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1228173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed GenOne29c144$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 100 Thieves72c134$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.472,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed 100 Thieves63c127.95$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3422049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed GenOne40c125.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.978637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed 100 Thieves66c124.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1710437.5%39 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed GenOne14c119.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked 100 Thieves69c114$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.736174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GenOne30c107.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.861,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked GenOne37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375052%26 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked GenOne21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked GenOne37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374949%24 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked 100 Thieves79c88.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.839366.7%62 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed GenOne14c87.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128356.6%47 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed GenOne33c85.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4732844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed 100 Thieves64c81.34$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5750051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves55c78.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.372,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed GenOne43c77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.111,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed 100 Thieves72c68.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2559049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked 100 Thieves75c68.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.892,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed 100 Thieves64c64.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0923956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed 100 Thieves63c60.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.429849%48 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked GenOne37c59.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9218736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed GenOne26c58.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5170042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked GenOne38c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked 100 Thieves68c55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.627156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked GenOne33c53.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5652645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3353…0855backed 100 Thieves59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed GenOne33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.532845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked 100 Thieves68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2460032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed GenOne26c45.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.725643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed GenOne49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.072,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f1…dd82backed 100 Thieves72c41.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.569152.7%48 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked GenOne34c40.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8449149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked 100 Thieves64c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.619954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked 100 Thieves68c37.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.921254.2%115 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ca…19c8backed 100 Thieves67c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.655450%27 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed 100 Thieves63c22.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1834750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 100 Thieves66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b4…a38abacked 100 Thieves69c17.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked 100 Thieves68c14.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7885054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.