Bundesliga · resolved market
Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7ca3f60e3c6a58724b12fdca412cfe513d7ca145342a57ac379043d35209e9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.95 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 38c | 2,500$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.9 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Yes | 57c | 2,202$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 2,128$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.7 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 689.7$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.98 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 57c | 640.51$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 59c | 466.96$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.85 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 460.04$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.27 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 35c | 383.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.24 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 59c | 342.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Yes | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 35c | 321$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 65c | 228.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 68c | 225.21$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 61c | 211.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 209.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 57c | 185.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 57c | 161.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 154.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Yes | 64c | 150.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 65c | 146.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 50c | 130.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…eeb2backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…bdf1backed Yes | 57c | 103$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed Yes | 57c | 103$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 37c | 90.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 65c | 74.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 35c | 46.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 33c | 46.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 57c | 34.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 31.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 25.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 62c | 23.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Yes | 65c | 21.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 64c | 15.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Wolfsburg O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Hannover 96 (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: Hannover 96 (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)Hannover 96 won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)Hannover 96 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.