Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50175df66689f4a07cb2bc330cce6690b105e902f654ac321c83e25d067a1db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abilene Christian Wildcatsof Abilene Christian Wildcats, Tarleton State Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Tarleton State Texans | 1c | 7,368$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 60c | 3,924$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Tarleton State Texans | 1c | 2,142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 59c | 1,859$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 36c | 1,817$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.88 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Tarleton State Texans | 61c | 1,495$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.09 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tarleton State Texans | 30c | 1,272$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 1,225$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.31 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Tarleton State Texans | 64c | 1,140$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.44 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 36c | 1,134$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.76 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tarleton State Texans | 48c | 1,091$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Tarleton State Texans | 38c | 968.51$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.55 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 26c | 690.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.63 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…122ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 58c | 667.36$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 39c | 554$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.94 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 484.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 30c | 466.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Tarleton State Texans | 6c | 443.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 30c | 384.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tarleton State Texans | 64c | 329$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.71 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Tarleton State Texans | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 59c | 315.15$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tarleton State Texans | 28c | 313$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 59c | 256$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 252.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 30c | 245.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.45 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 66c | 227.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Tarleton State Texans | 15c | 206.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Tarleton State Texans | 71c | 185$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Tarleton State Texans | 31c | 182.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tarleton State Texans | 36c | 157.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 35c | 119$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 70c | 116.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 38c | 113$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Tarleton State Texans | 38c | 112.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…f88fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 66c | 101$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Tarleton State Texans | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 26c | 94.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Tarleton State Texans | 33c | 82.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Tarleton State Texans | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 69.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Tarleton State Texans | 63c | 66.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 62c | 63.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Tarleton State Texans | 66c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 29c | 49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tarleton State Texans | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 29c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 36c | 41.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Tarleton State Texans | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed Tarleton State Texans | 40c | 39.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 29c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 36.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 31c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 34c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Tarleton State Texans | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed Tarleton State Texans | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Tarleton State Texans | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Tarleton State Texans | 63c | 19.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansthis page
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 139.5Over won
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 140.5Over won
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-4.5)Abilene Christian Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.