Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20afcae26cd12a4f6e20f5ee7f9316e78453735fd428f6f1580325d6f130bfb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 13c | 5,570$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.05 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 16c | 3,750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 16c | 3,672$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.52 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked No | 11c | 3,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 8c | 3,186$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.11 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 15c | 2,988$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.34 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 15c | 2,577$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.43 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 16c | 1,996$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.31 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked No | 13c | 1,860$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 1,818$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 1,432$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 9c | 1,324$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 14c | 846.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 13c | 832.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed No | 14c | 754$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 14c | 753$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 12c | 724.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 8c | 724.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 655.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked No | 18c | 619.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 11c | 612.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed No | 13c | 496.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 480.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 9c | 400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 14c | 400$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 15c | 399.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 16c | 393.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 3c | 384.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 15c | 308.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 12c | 275.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…f9d9backed No | 13c | 254.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 15c | 242.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed No | 8c | 222.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +709.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed No | 15c | 206.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 10c | 191.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked No | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked No | 16c | 182.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 12c | 166.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 8c | 128.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 10c | 118.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 64c | 65.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?No won
- Will ÍF Vestri win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.