Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Montana State Bobcats vs. Cal Poly Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea453e7bd27e55bfc311b0209c55fe335e6cac254ce22a97e9d2cd4bd233968
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana State Bobcatsof Montana State Bobcats, Cal Poly Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 17,000$7,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,989.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Montana State Bobcats | 53c | 15,857$8,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,452.84 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 39c | 4,195$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.32 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 3,085$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…249ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 22c | 3,000$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 2,594$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.61 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 1,770$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.75 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 1,504$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.88 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…7935backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 29c | 1,453$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 1,411$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.89 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 1c | 1,370$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 3c | 1,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 1,180$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.41 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Montana State Bobcats | 53c | 1,120$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 763.51$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.34 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 29c | 749.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 3c | 666.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 534$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 42c | 499.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 54c | 499.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 55c | 416.36$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 14c | 412.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Montana State Bobcats | 70c | 377.28$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Montana State Bobcats | 76c | 315.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 268$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Montana State Bobcats | 78c | 256.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 22c | 253.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 21c | 241.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Montana State Bobcats | 74c | 226.47$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 27c | 225.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Montana State Bobcats | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Montana State Bobcats | 73c | 189.64$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…856fbacked Montana State Bobcats | 53c | 186.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 51c | 183.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Montana State Bobcats | 79c | 178.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 170.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 44c | 145.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 10c | 145.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Montana State Bobcats | 67c | 111.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 46c | 109.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Montana State Bobcats | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90a…bb92backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 98.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 93.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 23c | 88.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 19c | 85.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 85.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc6…603cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 61c | 82.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 80.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147b…9198backed Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Montana State Bobcats | 71c | 77.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 32c | 63.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…5296backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 42c | 53.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…4f13backed Montana State Bobcats | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Montana State Bobcats | 61c | 43.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 42.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…6fb1backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…11febacked Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 35.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…aa68backed Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Montana State Bobcats | 67c | 33.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Montana State Bobcats | 71c | 32.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…c085backed Montana State Bobcats | 61c | 28.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Montana State Bobcats | 67c | 26.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 42c | 23.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Montana State Bobcats | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Montana State Bobcats | 77c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.