Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e25ace84fa1c49bd37fc74f1c7c31d142f1f3820481754fef86daf1eb8a8abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 48c | 21,000$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,149.99 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 53c | 17,937$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,430.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked No | 54c | 4,868$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 4,347$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 49c | 4,202$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.78 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 47c | 4,175$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.39 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 47c | 3,700$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 2,685$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.77 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 1,595$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.86 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 47c | 1,355$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.73 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 53c | 1,280$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed No | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 670.95$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.35 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 50c | 379.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 49c | 351.37$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 52c | 342$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 49c | 223$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf6…c9f2backed No | 54c | 213.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda37…5c80backed No | 54c | 208$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…0a72backed Yes | 46c | 208$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…aa5bbacked No | 54c | 206$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…d984backed Yes | 46c | 206$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 12c | 147.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 47c | 130.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 119.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 117.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 47c | 76.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…8649backed No | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed No | 54c | 56.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 55c | 50.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 47c | 37.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed No | 54c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 54c | 25.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed No | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 54c | 20.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…2379backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.