Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5601a0db5b928239b06e25c437fe7a9ac14b33adcad2481dbca9269596f0d541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof MOUZ, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed MOUZ | 61c | 7,507$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.1 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 6,820$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed MOUZ | 60c | 5,921$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.83 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 46c | 4,543$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.09 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 4,058$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.76 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed MOUZ | 61c | 3,385$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed MOUZ | 3c | 2,563$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,350$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ | 11c | 2,342$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,094$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.99 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,000$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.81 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked MOUZ | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,853$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.13 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,563$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.91 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked MOUZ | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,375$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.96 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,252$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.5 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,118$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.11 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed MOUZ | 61c | 815.49$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.45 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 668.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.37 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 645.9$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 599.81$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.89 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 45c | 591.86$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.25 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 535.71$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 509.23$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed MOUZ | 40c | 500.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked MOUZ | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed MOUZ | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 492.12$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.16 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 485.75$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed MOUZ | 60c | 432.25$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked MOUZ | 61c | 427.54$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 378$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.9 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 372.19$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed MOUZ | 62c | 358.73$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 357.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed MOUZ | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked MOUZ | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked MOUZ | 62c | 322.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 304.53$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.81 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed MOUZ | 37c | 270.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 242.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked MOUZ | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed MOUZ | 42c | 238.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 234.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 233.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked MOUZ | 52c | 230$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 227.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 222.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 205.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…22aabacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 205.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 202.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 202$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed MOUZ | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked MOUZ | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 18c | 187.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 160.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…c862backed MOUZ | 61c | 159.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed MOUZ | 24c | 159$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…4c25backed MOUZ | 31c | 130.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed MOUZ | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7cbbbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 107$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 105$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 102$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed MOUZ | 47c | 100.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed MOUZ | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed MOUZ | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…6b3fbacked MOUZ | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed MOUZ | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed MOUZ | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed MOUZ | 58c | 97.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed MOUZ | 61c | 94.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…7c9abacked MOUZ | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed MOUZ | 49c | 81.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.