Tennis · resolved market
Heilbronn: Jan Choinski vs Luka Mikrut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0add5cb3d6cb062692293df410630fa8dd816ebaec31fd658e17153320afe69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Mikrutof Jan Choinski, Luka Mikrut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Jan Choinski | 7c | 10,300$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luka Mikrut | 79c | 6,562$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…41f1backed Jan Choinski | 29c | 3,245$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.21 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Mikrut | 49c | 2,826$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.79 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Luka Mikrut | 38c | 2,357$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.49 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jan Choinski | 62c | 2,200$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.42 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Jan Choinski | 63c | 1,586$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jan Choinski | 23c | 1,556$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jan Choinski | 15c | 1,428$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Jan Choinski | 8c | 1,257$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Luka Mikrut | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Jan Choinski | 59c | 672.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Jan Choinski | 59c | 649.5$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.71 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Jan Choinski | 65c | 642.99$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.94 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Luka Mikrut | 42c | 533.52$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.45 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Luka Mikrut | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Luka Mikrut | 37c | 501.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.78 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Jan Choinski | 60c | 500.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Luka Mikrut | 35c | 484.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.11 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Jan Choinski | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jan Choinski | 63c | 468.75$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.31 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jan Choinski | 33c | 462.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Jan Choinski | 39c | 446.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jan Choinski | 42c | 414.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441f…8954backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 412.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…e803backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jan Choinski | 22c | 337.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Choinski | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Luka Mikrut | 39c | 307.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.36 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Luka Mikrut | 69c | 273.78$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Luka Mikrut | 38c | 271.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luka Mikrut | 39c | 256.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Jan Choinski | 40c | 248.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luka Mikrut | 37c | 220.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Luka Mikrut | 38c | 214.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jan Choinski | 57c | 211.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Jan Choinski | 18c | 208.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Jan Choinski | 60c | 208.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Jan Choinski | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Jan Choinski | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Luka Mikrut | 48c | 185.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Jan Choinski | 20c | 168.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luka Mikrut | 76c | 162.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Luka Mikrut | 37c | 155.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Luka Mikrut | 64c | 154.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jan Choinski | 62c | 147.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Luka Mikrut | 37c | 144.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Jan Choinski | 17c | 138.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Jan Choinski | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Luka Mikrut | 36c | 111.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Jan Choinski | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Jan Choinski | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Jan Choinski | 29c | 103.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked Luka Mikrut | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Luka Mikrut | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…5b20backed Jan Choinski | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Luka Mikrut | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Jan Choinski | 13c | 95.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Jan Choinski | 59c | 93.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Jan Choinski | 19c | 89.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Jan Choinski | 13c | 87.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Jan Choinski | 62c | 86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Luka Mikrut | 35c | 85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Luka Mikrut | 37c | 81.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jan Choinski | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Jan Choinski | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Jan Choinski | 61c | 71.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Jan Choinski | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jan Choinski | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…a5a4backed Luka Mikrut | 76c | 65.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Luka Mikrut | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Luka Mikrut | 38c | 51.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Luka Mikrut | 52c | 50.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 202 | 59.4%120 W · 82 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Luka Mikrut | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jan Choinski | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Luka Mikrut | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Jan Choinski | 70c | 49.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Luka Mikrut | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Jan Choinski | 62c | 48.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Jan Choinski | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Luka Mikrut | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Luka Mikrut | 35c | 40.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Luka Mikrut | 40c | 40.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Luka Mikrut | 73c | 39.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Luka Mikrut | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Luka Mikrut | 39c | 35.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Luka Mikrut | 79c | 35.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Jan Choinski | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Luka Mikrut | 42c | 32.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…8c97backed Jan Choinski | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…d117backed Jan Choinski | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jan Choinski | 63c | 30.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Luka Mikrut | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Luka Mikrut | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Luka Mikrut | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jan Choinski | 61c | 24.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luka Mikrut | 55c | 24.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Jan Choinski | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heilbronn: Jan Choinski vs Luka Mikrutthis page
- Choinski vs. Mikrut: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.