Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d33edfe438df9c59ec42834823d002784cbd6527107a3d167a503d6da2aee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Saski Baskonia | 14c | 2,658$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Saski Baskonia | 24c | 1,732$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Saski Baskonia | 22c | 1,584$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Saski Baskonia | 6c | 1,100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Valencia | 76c | 1,099$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valencia | 77c | 976.89$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.14 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Saski Baskonia | 20c | 496.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Saski Baskonia | 10c | 425.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Valencia | 78c | 333.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Valencia | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Valencia | 76c | 184.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Valencia | 78c | 153.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Saski Baskonia | 24c | 136$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Saski Baskonia | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Saski Baskonia | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Valencia | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed Valencia | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Saski Baskonia | 22c | 97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Saski Baskonia | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Saski Baskonia | 22c | 90.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Saski Baskonia | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Valencia | 78c | 76.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Saski Baskonia | 20c | 75.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Saski Baskonia | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Saski Baskonia | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Saski Baskonia | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Valencia | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Valencia | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Valencia | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Valencia | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Valencia | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Valencia | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Valencia | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Valencia | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Valencia | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Valencia | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Valencia | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Valencia | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Valencia | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed Valencia | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…198bbacked Valencia | 80c | 24.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Valencia | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Valencia | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Valencia | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Valencia | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Valencia | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Valencia | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Valencia | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Valencia | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Valencia | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.