CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs MINLATE (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73fc5bbf5afa2817eb79099315bfae908dc37db573722dff4c2b8a159819328
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB esportof AaB esport, MINLATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed AaB esport | 60c | 2,947$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.54 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MINLATE | 40c | 636.68$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.67 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked MINLATE | 40c | 467.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked MINLATE | 40c | 437.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked MINLATE | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed MINLATE | 40c | 332.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MINLATE | 34c | 265.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed MINLATE | 40c | 237.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed MINLATE | 40c | 153.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AaB esport | 60c | 139.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed MINLATE | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed MINLATE | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…c3d8backed AaB esport | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed MINLATE | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…bc4ebacked MINLATE | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MINLATE | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed AaB esport | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked MINLATE | 40c | 26.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed MINLATE | 40c | 26.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.