Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc1d6240983efdbf47320c90708cdc833a4a03f464d5f2e58c800cb2205a1dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSVof PSV, FC Groningen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fae…b849backed FC Groningen | 64c | 690.29$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed PSV | 36c | 585.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.59 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed FC Groningen | 69c | 175.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PSV | 32c | 153.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed PSV | 35c | 134.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed PSV | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Groningen | 64c | 109.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked FC Groningen | 63c | 79.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PSV | 37c | 79.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Groningen | 65c | 57.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked PSV | 35c | 51.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bb…047ebacked PSV | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed FC Groningen | 66c | 42.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa693…eaaabacked PSV | 34c | 42.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Groningen | 66c | 42.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FC Groningen | 66c | 39.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed PSV | 36c | 36.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FC Groningen | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed FC Groningen | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed FC Groningen | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)this page
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 2.5Under won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: PSV O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.