Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: PSV (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f516fdfb2570bb3e7031bcd032cfe20693aa742a1b3f13eb4d4b8ccf3da203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSVof PSV, FC Groningen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked FC Groningen | 47c | 19,917$9,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,264.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PSV | 54c | 9,377$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed PSV | 54c | 4,361$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.16 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed PSV | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked PSV | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed FC Groningen | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed PSV | 53c | 1,629$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.52 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked PSV | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed PSV | 53c | 740.91$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.23 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Groningen | 39c | 496.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Groningen | 45c | 462.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.97 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed PSV | 52c | 400.06$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.03 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed FC Groningen | 45c | 389.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed PSV | 54c | 379.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed PSV | 56c | 289.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PSV | 56c | 237.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked PSV | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked PSV | 53c | 191.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed PSV | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Groningen | 16c | 170.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed FC Groningen | 44c | 155$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed PSV | 55c | 138$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PSV | 55c | 114.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Groningen | 45c | 65.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PSV | 56c | 65.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PSV | 49c | 51.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed PSV | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FC Groningen | 45c | 43.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed PSV | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FC Groningen | 45c | 39.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed FC Groningen | 45c | 35.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed PSV | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed PSV | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked PSV | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)this page
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 2.5Under won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: PSV O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.