Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab52726e0e2b5fd97dd83df1fd60b7aef0b73fa1cd02e72d40ee1728440bd7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 57c | 13,903$7,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,918.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 4,851$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 4,188$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 63c | 3,137$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.54 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 3,058$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.6 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 2,667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 2,390$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.3 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 58c | 1,510$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.06 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed Under | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 52c | 1,043$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.9 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 2c | 1,038$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 48c | 916.49$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.09 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 6c | 689.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 51c | 604.93$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +165.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 60c | 558.5$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Over | 56c | 517.47$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 40c | 377.39$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…96c6backed Under | 51c | 340.49$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 44c | 181$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 126.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 105.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 72c | 99.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 21c | 88.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…bc66backed Under | 55c | 86.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 46c | 80.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 43c | 71.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 51c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…4800backed Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 49c | 63.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 62.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Under | 65c | 59.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 43c | 57.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 21c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 58c | 50.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 57c | 44.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 79c | 36.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 32c | 32.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5this page
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 2.5Under won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: PSV O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.