Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fbd160fbe7dce0b14b6d8bc67a35c5d1c8387f24532b7fafe4d57707f938000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 5c | 1,963$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 42c | 764.29$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 42c | 599.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 475.11$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 43c | 462.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 57c | 449.88$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 416.75$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 58c | 384$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 382.24$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 255.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…9ac7backed Over | 57c | 186.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 44c | 63.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Over | 58c | 56.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 43c | 46.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 34c | 41.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 41.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 58c | 38.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Under | 43c | 32.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 26.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 54c | 18.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5this page
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 2.5Under won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Groningen: PSV O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.