Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Jackky and friends (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65a1befa671abd9afdbd0e82c373890c3e796467203047f46e0cc1a0be857d5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, Jackky and friends
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aa0…ca20backed Jackky and friends | 55c | 2,922$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Execration | 77c | 2,897$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.01 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Jackky and friends | 34c | 1,690$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.61 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Jackky and friends | 13c | 1,454$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Execration | 78c | 828.59$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.59 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Jackky and friends | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.84 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Execration | 48c | 614.1$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Execration | 50c | 528.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Execration | 60c | 430$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Jackky and friends | 19c | 416.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Execration | 55c | 403.56$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Execration | 62c | 402.7$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Jackky and friends | 38c | 392.87$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Execration | 51c | 318.21$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Jackky and friends | 13c | 309.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Execration | 65c | 305.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Jackky and friends | 29c | 277.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Execration | 53c | 261.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.76 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Execration | 50c | 216.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…a5dcbacked Execration | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…714cbacked Execration | 76c | 204.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Jackky and friends | 31c | 200.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeab…63a6backed Jackky and friends | 12c | 169.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Execration | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jackky and friends | 23c | 145.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2d…d44dbacked Execration | 48c | 136$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Jackky and friends | 36c | 119.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…b3a0backed Execration | 79c | 114.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Jackky and friends | 12c | 108.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Execration | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Execration | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…b4d2backed Execration | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Execration | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Execration | 65c | 97.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Execration | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…12edbacked Jackky and friends | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…2161backed Execration | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Jackky and friends | 26c | 79.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Jackky and friends | 16c | 78.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Jackky and friends | 30c | 77.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Jackky and friends | 34c | 75.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…0128backed Execration | 66c | 73.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Execration | 77c | 70.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Execration | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…0449backed Jackky and friends | 26c | 57.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Execration | 50c | 55.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Execration | 73c | 51.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…568abacked Execration | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Jackky and friends | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Jackky and friends | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…b9ddbacked Jackky and friends | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…9b2abacked Execration | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…57f0backed Execration | 74c | 41.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jackky and friends | 39c | 40.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…b5dabacked Execration | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Execration | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Execration | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Execration | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Execration | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…e10ebacked Execration | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…89b0backed Execration | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Jackky and friends (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Jackky and friends - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Jackky and friends - Game 2 WinnerExecration won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.