Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4e09a5579ccf494f2821dd25d90eaf79f256179862fa6e969e04384e8805c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.95 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.93 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 1,421$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 61c | 1,338$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f1…2638backed Yes | 58c | 1,224$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 1,167$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.5 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 61c | 905.7$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.22 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 61c | 526.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 61c | 426.23$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 61c | 333$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 61c | 328.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 39c | 313$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 59c | 216.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 58c | 192.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 61c | 171.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked No | 44c | 125.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…6a54backed Yes | 64c | 93.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…3188backed Yes | 61c | 80.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…bdc2backed Yes | 61c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…f74dbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…51d9backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 64c | 48.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…5713backed No | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 26c | 40.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…a490backed No | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed No | 38c | 34.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2647backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.