TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$980,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$981,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $980,631 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over45c866,143$392,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473,250.923930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under55c500,000$273,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under54c75,000$40,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,50024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under55c70,021$38,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,211.282951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under54c35,000$18,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,9005556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under55c32,771$18,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,023.9421853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c25,085$13,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,238.952,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c18,861$10,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,437.536,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under55c18,853$10,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,369.2216848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c16,000$8,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,72035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under55c14,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7006137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Under56c13,818$7,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,738.152450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under55c12,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under56c7,572$4,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,220.761,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Under55c4,900$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6952751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c4,832$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.84,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under54c4,500$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4503053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68010050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Under56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4007759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under55c2,121$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.9539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.732037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over43c1,306$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.429763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Under59c1,279$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.671931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over41c1,250$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.497357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under58c999.27$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.5817544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over46c967.35$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.3725752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under17c952.33$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under54c875$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Over41c715.08$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.914854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under55c600$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3329254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under53c599.97$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0910433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8820…0118backed Under24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under29c410.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.957657.9%44 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Under57c399.88$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.936741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5594…6135backed Under45c369.49$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2058…cf57backed Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db2…9289backed Over44c335.91$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b2f…2fdcbacked Under57c304.54$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e67…8b45backed Under56c296.43$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1661741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7658…28bcbacked Under8c251.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Under54c246.35$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.495442.6%23 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0430…530abacked Under60c180.17$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75d…5a1dbacked Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick62cpaid-63.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa98…cbc0backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Over43c163.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.281376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c158.47$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.81,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over66c151.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9730645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8125553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under34c143.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over40c143.18$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4158445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e42…8f95backed Over45c142.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.641118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.828255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.838358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ced…9b7cbacked Under59c118$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under55c109.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.112048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4524158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5715955.3%88 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Under58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.23243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.224062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Over45c86.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Under58c85.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Over43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.43354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d2…d94cbacked Under38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over42c78.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.572142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Under58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6591…a0fbbacked Over42c61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.428458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.429657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.423658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.425858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.427758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.422958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.