Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70bb4f2d7614c8679d606671e2b4c07462d6c4c625956bf23a78d33209f9f843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $980,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $981,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $980,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 45c | 866,143$392,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473,250.92 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 55c | 500,000$273,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 54c | 75,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,500 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 55c | 70,021$38,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,211.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 54c | 35,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 55c | 32,771$18,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,023.94 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 25,085$13,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,238.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 18,861$10,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,437.53 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 55c | 18,853$10,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,369.22 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 16,000$8,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,720 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 55c | 14,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Under | 56c | 13,818$7,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,738.15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 56c | 7,572$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220.76 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Under | 55c | 4,900$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 4,832$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 54c | 4,500$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 55c | 2,121$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.95 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.7 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 43c | 1,306$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.42 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Under | 59c | 1,279$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 41c | 1,250$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.49 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Under | 58c | 999.27$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.58 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 46c | 967.35$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.37 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 17c | 952.33$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 54c | 875$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Over | 41c | 715.08$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.9 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 55c | 600$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under | 53c | 599.97$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.09 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…0118backed Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 29c | 410.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Under | 57c | 399.88$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.93 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…6135backed Under | 45c | 369.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Over | 44c | 335.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…2fdcbacked Under | 57c | 304.54$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Under | 56c | 296.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Under | 8c | 251.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 54c | 246.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6e0cbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…530abacked Under | 60c | 180.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…5a1dbacked Under | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa98…cbc0backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Over | 43c | 163.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 158.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 66c | 151.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 34c | 143.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 40c | 143.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…8f95backed Over | 45c | 142.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…9b7cbacked Under | 59c | 118$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 55c | 109.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…613abacked Under | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 45c | 86.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Under | 58c | 85.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…d94cbacked Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…a0fbbacked Over | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.